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Technological Transitions

Every era of major technological change produces confident predictions and spectacular miscalibrations in roughly equal measure. The current moment is not exempt. These essays take the longer view: how prior transitions compare to this one, what history actually teaches (and where historical analogies mislead), and which questions about society, governance, and institutional design aren't being asked carefully enough.

This is the category for stepping back from the immediate work to consider the terrain it sits inside. AI governance, digital ethics, the sociology of disruption, and the structural forces shaping what comes after this particular cycle. Some of these essays are policy-adjacent. Some are historical. Most are written for the practitioner who wants their work to be informed by something more durable than the current week's news.